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Red280
150287.8
83097.6
570374.2
Blue285
470110.2
283493.4
551788.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266317100150200350400450500280285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#12
97.60.3
96.796.4
Auto13.8
Teleop47.6
End36.2
blue by 12.6
470
#10
110.20.6
110.6110.0
Auto11.7
Teleop46.1
End52.4
Second
87.80.3
88.788.4
Auto16.0
Teleop38.5
End33.4
blue by 5.5
93.40.6
93.993.3
Auto11.5
Teleop39.0
End42.9
Third
5703
#38
74.20.3
74.674.2
Auto6.5
Teleop31.3
End36.4
blue by 14.6
88.80.6
89.989.3
Auto5.2
Teleop40.3
End43.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed