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Red315
20179.3
302112.2
51113.2
Blue262
353698.9
551788.8
118980.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222840100200400500600700315262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#5
113.20.2
111.6111.8
Auto15.3
Teleop42.9
End55.0
red by 14.3
3536
#19
98.90.3
100.9100.6
Auto8.0
Teleop42.1
End48.7
Second
302
#1
112.20.2
110.6110.8
Auto12.6
Teleop50.1
End49.5
red by 23.4
88.80.3
90.990.6
Auto5.2
Teleop40.3
End43.4
Third
201
#22
79.30.2
77.878.0
Auto6.7
Teleop36.0
End36.5
blue by 1.2
1189
#31
80.50.3
82.682.3
Auto12.1
Teleop40.4
End28.0