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Red256
261287.2
661863.3
124374.5
Blue131
214580.2
516675.6
606672.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322500100200300400500256131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#23
87.20.8
86.487.2
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End35.0
red by 7.0
80.22.3
82.580.2
Auto6.9
Teleop34.6
End38.7
Second
1243
#12
74.50.8
73.774.5
Auto12.4
Teleop39.1
End23.0
blue by 1.1
75.62.3
77.975.6
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End37.3
Third
6618
#11
63.30.7
62.563.3
Auto7.6
Teleop41.4
End14.3
blue by 8.9
6066
#18
72.22.3
74.572.2
Auto7.6
Teleop40.9
End23.7