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Red281
520165.0
543699.5
353478.8
Blue235
577462.4
571373.9
592660.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2711940100300400500281235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.50.2
100.5100.7
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End43.9
red by 25.6
73.90.9
73.073.9
Auto7.1
Teleop34.5
End32.3
Second
3534
#17
78.80.2
79.880.0
Auto6.2
Teleop32.1
End40.5
red by 16.5
5774
#24
62.40.9
61.562.4
Auto5.0
Teleop34.5
End22.9
Third
5201
#30
65.00.2
66.066.2
Auto8.0
Teleop22.7
End34.4
red by 4.3
5926
#21
60.70.9
59.860.7
Auto6.2
Teleop35.1
End19.4