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Red192
214580.2
261287.2
577462.4
Blue187
233793.0
523870.2
1506101.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1591860100300400192187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#23
87.21.4
51.049.6
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End35.0
blue by 14.0
1506
#15
101.21.5
63.665.1
Auto11.7
Teleop37.7
End51.7
Second
80.21.4
54.252.8
Auto6.9
Teleop34.6
End38.7
blue by 12.8
93.01.5
70.772.2
Auto16.7
Teleop44.2
End32.2
Third
5774
#24
62.41.4
49.748.3
Auto5.0
Teleop34.5
End22.9
blue by 7.8
5238
#29
70.21.5
39.040.5
Auto5.1
Teleop29.5
End35.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed