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Red195
561287.4
520165.0
168480.9
Blue294
543699.5
3770102.5
353478.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1482180100300400195294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#13
87.44.9
51.956.9
Auto7.3
Teleop36.8
End43.2
blue by 15.2
102.510.7
74.985.6
Auto12.2
Teleop52.8
End37.6
Second
80.94.9
65.270.2
Auto4.0
Teleop45.4
End31.5
blue by 18.6
99.510.7
62.373.1
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End43.9
Third
5201
#30
65.04.9
33.338.3
Auto8.0
Teleop22.7
End34.4
blue by 13.9
3534
#17
78.810.7
60.271.0
Auto6.2
Teleop32.1
End40.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed