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Red100
366773.9
609357.6
607156.8
Blue205
516675.6
261287.2
353478.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161215050100250300350400100205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3667
#10
73.97.2
49.141.8
Auto8.9
Teleop38.6
End26.4
blue by 13.3
2612
#23
87.20.2
66.666.3
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End35.0
Second
6093
#26
57.67.2
56.549.3
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End20.9
blue by 21.2
3534
#17
78.80.2
63.162.8
Auto6.2
Teleop32.1
End40.5
Third
6071
#19
56.87.2
54.747.4
Auto7.6
Teleop26.1
End23.2
blue by 18.8
75.60.2
67.467.2
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End37.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed