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Red255
261287.2
661863.3
124374.5
Blue237
1506101.2
233793.0
504670.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219299100400500255237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#23
87.20.9
85.186.0
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End35.0
blue by 14.0
1506
#15
101.20.9
103.9103.0
Auto11.7
Teleop37.7
End51.7
Second
1243
#12
74.50.9
72.473.3
Auto12.4
Teleop39.1
End23.0
blue by 18.5
93.00.8
95.594.7
Auto16.7
Teleop44.2
End32.2
Third
6618
#11
63.30.8
61.462.2
Auto7.6
Teleop41.4
End14.3
blue by 7.6
5046
#14
70.90.8
73.372.5
Auto5.4
Teleop30.8
End34.7