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Red255
261287.2
661863.3
124374.5
Blue225
1506101.2
233793.0
504670.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223295100200400500255225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#23
87.20.8
86.086.8
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End35.0
blue by 14.0
1506
#15
101.21.9
103.0101.2
Auto11.7
Teleop37.7
End51.7
Second
1243
#12
74.50.8
73.374.1
Auto12.4
Teleop39.1
End23.0
blue by 18.5
93.01.7
94.793.0
Auto16.7
Teleop44.2
End32.2
Third
6618
#11
63.30.7
62.262.9
Auto7.6
Teleop41.4
End14.3
blue by 7.6
5046
#14
70.91.7
72.570.9
Auto5.4
Teleop30.8
End34.7