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Red220
606672.2
516675.6
214580.2
Blue311
353478.8
543699.5
520165.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259258220240280300220311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.20.7
86.285.5
Auto6.9
Teleop34.6
End38.7
blue by 19.3
99.51.4
100.0101.4
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End43.9
Second
75.60.7
81.680.9
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End37.3
blue by 3.2
3534
#17
78.81.4
79.380.7
Auto6.2
Teleop32.1
End40.5
Third
6066
#18
72.20.7
78.277.5
Auto7.6
Teleop40.9
End23.7
red by 7.2
5201
#30
65.01.4
65.566.8
Auto8.0
Teleop22.7
End34.4