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Red231
506968.3
4967108.4
2767108.7
Blue165
124390.2
21695.8
448273.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162750100200400500600700231165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.71.8
110.4108.7
Auto17.1
Teleop50.5
End41.0
red by 12.9
216
#12
95.82.3
98.095.8
Auto10.1
Teleop38.8
End46.9
Second
108.41.8
110.2108.4
Auto20.6
Teleop49.3
End38.4
red by 18.2
1243
#28
90.22.3
92.490.2
Auto11.4
Teleop42.7
End36.2
Third
5069
#31
68.31.8
70.168.3
Auto9.7
Teleop30.2
End28.4
blue by 5.3
4482
#27
73.72.3
75.973.7
Auto10.2
Teleop34.5
End28.9