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Red150
167763.5
606583.7
506692.4
Blue195
611464.5
448273.7
506968.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207158050100250300350400150195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#21
92.43.0
84.781.7
Auto9.5
Teleop43.3
End39.6
red by 18.7
4482
#27
73.72.6
50.853.3
Auto10.2
Teleop34.5
End28.9
Second
6065
#26
83.73.0
64.161.1
Auto9.5
Teleop37.8
End36.4
red by 15.4
5069
#31
68.32.6
64.667.2
Auto9.7
Teleop30.2
End28.4
Third
1677
#14
63.53.0
41.038.0
Auto6.6
Teleop31.7
End25.2
blue by 1.0
64.52.6
41.243.8
Auto5.2
Teleop28.8
End30.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed