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Red256
433761.1
6090107.5
440989.3
Blue188
3357106.9
505670.4
547341.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265236100200300400500256188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.52.8
101.098.2
Auto14.8
Teleop45.9
End46.8
red by 0.6
106.92.7
108.2105.5
Auto11.7
Teleop52.1
End43.1
Second
89.32.8
85.682.8
Auto10.1
Teleop36.0
End43.3
red by 18.9
5056
#18
70.42.7
72.069.3
Auto5.6
Teleop33.1
End31.7
Third
4337
#33
61.12.8
61.158.3
Auto6.8
Teleop37.6
End16.7
red by 20.0
5473
#34
41.22.7
48.145.4
Auto6.0
Teleop31.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed