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Red219
141109.2
24499.9
448273.7
Blue321
4967108.4
4004100.1
2767108.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298309150200250350400450500219321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#11
109.24.4
115.1110.7
Auto14.8
Teleop40.0
End54.4
red by 0.6
108.70.3
98.698.8
Auto17.1
Teleop50.5
End41.0
Second
244
#17
99.94.4
100.496.0
Auto11.8
Teleop40.6
End47.5
blue by 8.5
108.40.3
94.895.0
Auto20.6
Teleop49.3
End38.4
Third
4482
#27
73.74.4
69.364.9
Auto10.2
Teleop34.5
End28.9
blue by 26.4
4004
#16
100.10.3
98.698.9
Auto12.2
Teleop43.8
End44.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed4%Pressure oddsEarned