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Red350
611464.5
547049.8
4004100.1
Blue145
485578.8
167763.5
653439.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197195100150250300350350145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#16
100.14.2
98.9103.1
Auto12.2
Teleop43.8
End44.1
red by 21.3
4855
#19
78.82.7
81.078.3
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End36.0
Second
64.54.2
53.357.5
Auto5.2
Teleop28.8
End30.5
red by 1.0
1677
#14
63.52.7
63.160.4
Auto6.6
Teleop31.7
End25.2
Third
5470
#32
49.84.2
35.239.3
Auto6.5
Teleop29.9
End13.3
red by 10.5
6534
#39
39.32.7
41.638.9
Auto7.8
Teleop30.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed