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Red180
653157.6
505670.4
448273.7
Blue261
28874.2
5256100.4
21695.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201293100400500180261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4482
#27
73.71.5
71.469.8
Auto10.2
Teleop34.5
End28.9
blue by 26.7
5256
#10
100.40.7
100.8100.2
Auto13.7
Teleop41.0
End45.7
Second
5056
#18
70.41.5
72.671.0
Auto5.6
Teleop33.1
End31.7
blue by 25.4
216
#12
95.80.7
92.691.9
Auto10.1
Teleop38.8
End46.9
Third
6531
#23
57.61.5
59.257.6
Auto6.0
Teleop37.3
End14.2
blue by 16.6
288
#13
74.20.7
72.671.9
Auto10.8
Teleop31.5
End32.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed