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Red257
569753.9
24590.4
609872.4
Blue288
7090.1
611773.4
654871.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2232370100300400500600700257288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#5
90.41.0
89.590.4
Auto6.7
Teleop35.5
End48.2
red by 0.3
70
#11
90.11.4
86.387.8
Auto10.6
Teleop45.8
End33.7
Second
72.41.0
71.472.4
Auto10.5
Teleop33.4
End28.6
blue by 1.0
73.41.4
69.671.0
Auto4.4
Teleop45.7
End23.3
Third
5697
#27
53.91.0
53.053.9
Auto7.3
Teleop27.1
End19.5
blue by 17.5
6548
#16
71.41.6
67.268.8
Auto3.2
Teleop33.4
End34.8