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Red140
553353.6
566057.9
506768.5
Blue100
521571.8
508434.8
658335.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148152100200140100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5067
#25
68.50.4
44.043.5
Auto9.1
Teleop31.7
End27.8
blue by 3.3
5215
#24
71.84.6
43.939.3
Auto7.1
Teleop25.9
End38.8
Second
5660
#19
57.90.4
53.152.7
Auto6.1
Teleop29.3
End22.6
red by 22.7
6583
#37
35.24.6
40.135.6
Auto6.9
Teleop30.1
End-1.8
Third
5533
#33
53.60.4
46.946.5
Auto8.0
Teleop33.8
End11.9
red by 18.7
5084
#29
34.84.6
57.052.4
Auto4.2
Teleop17.7
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed