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Red200
89495.3
261992.1
546090.5
Blue205
611773.4
24590.4
499843.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201420100300400500200205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#4
95.30.2
52.152.2
Auto10.3
Teleop46.4
End38.6
red by 4.9
245
#5
90.43.8
62.165.9
Auto6.7
Teleop35.5
End48.2
Second
92.10.2
62.762.9
Auto15.4
Teleop39.2
End37.5
red by 18.8
73.43.8
54.958.7
Auto4.4
Teleop45.7
End23.3
Third
90.50.2
83.683.8
Auto10.4
Teleop52.4
End27.7
red by 47.3
4998
#15
43.23.8
29.132.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed