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Red250
566057.9
661030.5
5150105.3
Blue240
601955.4
499473.2
511494.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16022050100200250300350400250240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#10
105.39.3
80.289.4
Auto8.9
Teleop48.4
End48.0
red by 11.3
5114
#2DQ
94.13.6
88.592.0
Auto10.7
Teleop31.5
End51.9
Second
5660
#19
57.99.3
48.858.0
Auto6.1
Teleop29.3
End22.6
blue by 15.3
4994
#14
73.23.6
65.469.0
Auto4.2
Teleop38.9
End30.1
Third
6610
#30
30.59.9
31.741.6
Auto2.4
Teleop30.0
End-2.0
blue by 24.9
6019
#35
55.43.6
46.550.1
Auto8.7
Teleop43.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed