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Red295
5150105.3
511494.1
506768.5
Blue212
353572.8
89495.3
32259.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286230100200400500295212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#10
105.30.6
103.9104.4
Auto8.9
Teleop48.4
End48.0
red by 10.1
894
#4
95.30.3
94.894.5
Auto10.3
Teleop46.4
End38.6
Second
94.10.6
92.693.2
Auto10.7
Teleop31.5
End51.9
red by 21.2
3535
#13
72.80.3
72.472.0
Auto11.3
Teleop34.8
End26.7
Third
5067
#25
68.50.6
67.167.7
Auto9.1
Teleop31.7
End27.8
red by 9.0
322
#26
59.50.3
59.158.7
Auto5.8
Teleop28.5
End25.2