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Red190
226111.3
894116.3
548116.6
Blue269
302104.0
260468.3
4779100.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762740100200500600700190269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#24
116.60.0
116.6116.6
Auto13.4
Teleop54.9
End48.3
red by 12.6
302
#17
104.00.0
104.0104.0
Auto13.0
Teleop47.6
End43.4
Second
894
#9
116.30.0
116.3116.3
Auto14.2
Teleop51.5
End50.6
red by 15.5
4779
#30
100.80.0
100.8100.8
Auto11.5
Teleop52.4
End36.9
Third
226
#36
111.30.0
111.3111.3
Auto15.0
Teleop50.2
End46.1
red by 43.0
2604
#22
68.30.0
68.368.3
Auto9.8
Teleop30.6
End27.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
76%Rotor odds23%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds