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Red260
205498.3
4961113.1
5436117.5
Blue185
150683.2
213794.0
1684101.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3562830100200400500600260185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#21
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto11.5
Teleop57.5
End48.5
red by 16.1
1684
#25
101.30.0
101.3101.3
Auto11.7
Teleop49.6
End40.0
Second
4961
#14
113.10.0
113.1113.1
Auto14.0
Teleop52.7
End46.4
red by 19.1
2137
#40
94.00.0
94.094.0
Auto17.6
Teleop44.7
End31.7
Third
2054
#31
98.30.0
98.398.3
Auto13.9
Teleop43.4
End40.9
red by 15.1
1506
#26
83.20.0
83.283.2
Auto15.6
Teleop40.3
End27.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
39%Rotor odds35%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds