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Red185
561296.7
150683.2
2832107.3
Blue285
2960118.3
506697.4
436296.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2973330100200400500600185285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#11
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto14.5
Teleop46.9
End45.9
blue by 11.0
118.30.0
118.3118.3
Auto13.5
Teleop51.9
End52.8
Second
5612
#44
96.70.0
96.796.7
Auto6.8
Teleop43.0
End46.9
blue by 0.7
5066
#29
97.40.0
97.497.4
Auto7.8
Teleop44.1
End45.5
Third
1506
#26
83.20.0
83.283.2
Auto15.6
Teleop40.3
End27.3
blue by 13.3
4362
#20
96.50.0
96.596.5
Auto14.8
Teleop47.2
End34.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
16%Rotor odds64%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds