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Red170
649364.3
205498.3
436296.5
Blue255
5150121.1
4779100.8
516768.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2673110100200400500600700170255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#31
98.30.0
98.398.3
Auto13.9
Teleop43.4
End40.9
blue by 22.8
121.10.0
121.1121.1
Auto15.9
Teleop53.1
End52.1
Second
4362
#20
96.50.0
96.596.5
Auto14.8
Teleop47.2
End34.4
blue by 4.3
4779
#30
100.80.0
100.8100.8
Auto11.5
Teleop52.4
End36.9
Third
6493
#39
64.30.0
64.364.3
Auto4.5
Teleop28.8
End31.0
blue by 4.0
5167
#16
68.30.0
68.368.3
Auto9.6
Teleop36.1
End22.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor odds45%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds