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Red265
400394.8
432778.5
520472.0
Blue330
5205103.9
421699.2
605329.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247241180200220260280300320265330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#11
94.80.7
91.191.8
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End43.4
blue by 9.1
103.91.7
102.9104.6
Auto14.4
Teleop41.9
End47.6
Second
78.50.7
74.975.6
Auto8.0
Teleop30.9
End39.7
blue by 20.7
99.21.7
98.299.9
Auto7.7
Teleop44.9
End46.6
Third
5204
#16
72.00.8
67.968.7
Auto8.4
Teleop29.0
End34.6
red by 42.6
6053
#28
29.41.7
28.430.0
Auto5.0
Teleop21.4
End2.9