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Red255
568534.9
387574.6
83085.6
Blue235
524866.3
525675.6
600270.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2022130100300400255235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#6
85.61.4
85.086.3
Auto12.9
Teleop40.3
End32.4
red by 10.1
5256
#12
75.60.8
71.672.3
Auto11.0
Teleop31.0
End33.5
Second
74.61.4
73.975.3
Auto14.0
Teleop38.7
End21.9
red by 4.0
6002
#19
70.60.8
66.667.4
Auto7.8
Teleop24.6
End38.2
Third
5685
#21
34.91.4
34.335.7
Auto1.0
Teleop25.5
End8.5
blue by 31.3
5248
#17
66.30.8
62.363.1
Auto6.7
Teleop26.7
End32.9