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Red181
658932.9
550180.8
550263.2
Blue188
598072.7
365567.8
438145.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1801940100300400500181188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.80.2
79.279.4
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End44.3
red by 8.0
72.70.5
71.370.9
Auto8.2
Teleop29.6
End34.8
Second
5502
#18
63.20.2
61.761.9
Auto3.1
Teleop25.9
End34.1
blue by 4.6
67.80.5
66.465.9
Auto10.1
Teleop33.6
End24.1
Third
6589
#14
32.90.2
31.431.6
Auto0.8
Teleop32.7
End-0.6
blue by 12.8
4381
#36
45.70.5
44.343.8
Auto7.0
Teleop25.8
End13.0