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Red215
440832.9
604369.8
598072.7
Blue145
520472.0
360356.2
360244.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14215050100200250215145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.78.7
53.762.4
Auto8.2
Teleop29.6
End34.8
red by 0.8
5204
#16
72.00.4
48.148.6
Auto8.4
Teleop29.0
End34.6
Second
6043
#23
69.88.7
46.355.0
Auto9.5
Teleop33.4
End26.9
red by 13.6
3603
#25
56.20.4
42.542.9
Auto4.8
Teleop35.7
End15.7
Third
4408
#35
32.98.7
36.345.0
Auto7.8
Teleop22.1
End3.0
blue by 11.8
3602
#24
44.70.4
50.651.0
Auto5.0
Teleop31.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed