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Red230
365567.8
387574.6
611931.1
Blue190
448249.1
604369.8
550263.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163109050200250300350400230190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.66.4
60.667.0
Auto14.0
Teleop38.7
End21.9
red by 4.8
6043
#23
69.86.0
51.157.1
Auto9.5
Teleop33.4
End26.9
Second
67.86.4
58.164.6
Auto10.1
Teleop33.6
End24.1
red by 4.6
5502
#18
63.26.0
26.632.6
Auto3.1
Teleop25.9
End34.1
Third
6119
#38
31.16.4
28.534.9
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
blue by 18.0
4482
#26
49.16.0
33.539.5
Auto9.5
Teleop24.3
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed