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Red220
567653.2
658036.6
525675.6
Blue185
604369.8
387574.6
609223.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136161050100200250300350220185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5256
#12
75.69.1
52.061.1
Auto11.0
Teleop31.0
End33.5
red by 1.0
74.61.2
67.068.2
Auto14.0
Teleop38.7
End21.9
Second
5676
#15
53.29.1
49.458.6
Auto7.5
Teleop32.6
End13.2
blue by 16.6
6043
#23
69.81.2
57.158.3
Auto9.5
Teleop33.4
End26.9
Third
6580
#27
36.69.1
31.540.6
Auto5.0
Teleop24.0
End7.7
red by 12.9
6092
#34
23.71.2
25.326.5
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed