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Red267
400394.8
525675.6
550180.8
Blue151
365567.8
440832.9
522733.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2311380100200300400500267151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#11
94.86.3
77.583.8
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End43.4
red by 27.0
67.80.2
75.175.3
Auto10.1
Teleop33.6
End24.1
Second
80.86.3
68.074.3
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End44.3
red by 47.0
5227
#22
33.70.2
36.837.0
Auto4.3
Teleop15.4
End14.1
Third
5256
#12
75.66.3
61.167.4
Auto11.0
Teleop31.0
End33.5
red by 42.7
4408
#35
32.90.2
32.432.5
Auto7.8
Teleop22.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed