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Red145
400394.8
445334.7
642529.2
Blue235
562322.9
421699.2
604369.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138159050100200250300350145235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#11
94.81.0
83.884.8
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End43.4
blue by 4.4
99.28.3
78.987.3
Auto7.7
Teleop44.9
End46.6
Second
4453
#10
34.71.0
27.028.0
Auto8.1
Teleop30.0
End-3.3
blue by 35.1
6043
#23
69.89.0
58.867.7
Auto9.5
Teleop33.4
End26.9
Third
6425
#32
29.21.0
23.624.6
Auto2.5
Teleop22.4
End4.4
red by 6.3
5623
#39
22.98.3
10.719.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed