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Red95
657120.5
456839.7
360356.2
Blue165
387574.6
642529.2
562322.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125120020030040050095165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#25
56.22.1
58.156.0
Auto4.8
Teleop35.7
End15.7
blue by 18.4
74.63.7
70.273.9
Auto14.0
Teleop38.7
End21.9
Second
4568
#13
39.72.1
37.035.0
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End13.8
red by 10.4
6425
#32
29.23.7
25.529.2
Auto2.5
Teleop22.4
End4.4
Third
6571
#40
20.52.3
22.820.5
Auto4.9
Teleop21.2
End-5.6
blue by 2.4
5623
#39
22.93.7
19.222.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed