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Red285
5205103.9
421699.2
605329.4
Blue265
598072.7
365567.8
438145.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2431880100300400285265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.91.4
100.6102.0
Auto14.4
Teleop41.9
End47.6
red by 31.1
72.70.7
72.773.4
Auto8.2
Teleop29.6
End34.8
Second
99.21.4
96.097.4
Auto7.7
Teleop44.9
End46.6
red by 31.4
67.80.7
67.868.5
Auto10.1
Teleop33.6
End24.1
Third
6053
#28
29.41.4
26.127.5
Auto5.0
Teleop21.4
End2.9
blue by 16.3
4381
#36
45.70.7
45.646.4
Auto7.0
Teleop25.8
End13.0