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Red261
366899.8
2611109.6
302102.3
Blue241
494108.7
335792.2
30876.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346288100150200250400450500261241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.61.3
112.1110.8
Auto12.0
Teleop49.7
End47.9
red by 0.9
494
#18
108.71.0
109.8108.8
Auto12.3
Teleop54.2
End42.3
Second
302
#6
102.31.3
104.7103.4
Auto9.7
Teleop43.4
End49.1
red by 10.1
92.21.0
93.392.3
Auto10.5
Teleop46.6
End35.1
Third
3668
#14
99.81.3
102.3101.0
Auto12.9
Teleop42.9
End44.0
red by 23.8
308
#15
76.01.0
77.176.1
Auto10.8
Teleop29.3
End35.9