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Red409
24497.2
2611109.6
302102.3
Blue291
247493.2
567498.1
564165.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347258100200300400500409291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.60.3
112.7112.4
Auto12.0
Teleop49.7
End47.9
red by 11.6
98.10.7
97.998.6
Auto5.9
Teleop44.6
End47.5
Second
302
#6
102.30.3
105.3105.0
Auto9.7
Teleop43.4
End49.1
red by 9.1
2474
#19
93.20.7
93.093.7
Auto10.8
Teleop47.9
End34.4
Third
244
#17
97.20.3
97.797.4
Auto12.3
Teleop40.3
End44.5
red by 31.9
5641
#23
65.30.7
65.165.8
Auto5.1
Teleop32.2
End28.0