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Red276
30876.0
335792.2
494108.7
Blue305
523490.9
508474.4
511497.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320263100200400500276305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#18
108.70.4
114.5114.1
Auto12.3
Teleop54.2
End42.3
red by 11.0
5114
#30
97.71.1
95.696.7
Auto12.3
Teleop38.4
End47.0
Second
92.20.4
98.097.6
Auto10.5
Teleop46.6
End35.1
red by 1.3
5234
#12
90.91.1
88.889.9
Auto5.2
Teleop36.5
End49.2
Third
308
#15
76.00.4
81.881.4
Auto10.8
Teleop29.3
End35.9
red by 1.6
5084
#11
74.41.1
72.373.4
Auto4.5
Teleop31.2
End38.6