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Red330
654874.7
68103.1
5205101.6
Blue291
365589.7
567679.2
421695.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314271150200250350400450330291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#4
103.10.3
107.0107.3
Auto4.9
Teleop47.4
End50.9
red by 7.6
4216
#22
95.50.5
95.095.5
Auto6.9
Teleop46.0
End42.6
Second
101.60.3
105.5105.8
Auto14.8
Teleop51.0
End35.8
red by 11.9
3655
#10
89.70.5
89.189.7
Auto10.1
Teleop40.8
End38.8
Third
6548
#27
74.70.3
78.679.0
Auto5.1
Teleop39.4
End30.2
blue by 4.4
79.20.5
78.779.2
Auto7.4
Teleop36.4
End35.4