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Red250
247493.2
511497.7
567498.1
Blue290
365589.7
5205101.6
523490.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299258100200400500250290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.11.9
95.593.6
Auto5.9
Teleop44.6
End47.5
blue by 3.5
101.62.3
105.4107.7
Auto14.8
Teleop51.0
End35.8
Second
5114
#30
97.71.9
97.295.3
Auto12.3
Teleop38.4
End47.0
red by 6.8
5234
#12
90.92.3
81.583.8
Auto5.2
Teleop36.5
End49.2
Third
2474
#19
93.21.9
85.683.7
Auto10.8
Teleop47.9
End34.4
red by 3.5
3655
#10
89.72.3
63.665.9
Auto10.1
Teleop40.8
End38.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed