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Red200
323468.1
494108.7
659538.7
Blue210
659178.5
659449.8
353690.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247165050100200300350400200210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#18
108.71.6
114.6113.1
Auto12.3
Teleop54.2
End42.3
red by 18.1
3536
#21
90.61.9
83.885.7
Auto5.3
Teleop43.2
End42.1
Second
3234
#39
68.12.6
67.264.6
Auto10.9
Teleop36.0
End21.2
blue by 10.4
6591
#24
78.51.9
48.550.4
Auto8.9
Teleop29.5
End40.2
Third
6595
#37
38.72.6
41.939.2
Auto6.2
Teleop26.6
End5.9
blue by 11.1
6594
#33
49.81.1
35.636.7
Auto6.5
Teleop29.8
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed