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Red312
494108.7
607862.1
21674.3
Blue243
302102.3
654874.7
659243.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275217100300400500312243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#18
108.73.6
112.9116.5
Auto12.3
Teleop54.2
End42.3
red by 6.5
302
#6
102.31.6
100.1101.7
Auto9.7
Teleop43.4
End49.1
Second
216
#31
74.33.6
83.086.6
Auto6.9
Teleop28.0
End39.4
blue by 0.4
6548
#27
74.71.6
76.878.4
Auto5.1
Teleop39.4
End30.2
Third
6078
#29
62.16.0
57.163.1
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End26.0
red by 19.1
6592
#34
43.01.6
37.038.6
Auto6.3
Teleop32.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed