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Red260
247493.2
609085.1
659538.7
Blue205
107681.5
323468.1
659449.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2211950100300400500260205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#19
93.23.2
89.893.0
Auto10.8
Teleop47.9
End34.4
red by 11.7
1076
#26
81.51.1
73.174.2
Auto12.3
Teleop42.3
End26.9
Second
6090
#20
85.13.6
81.685.2
Auto9.4
Teleop36.7
End39.0
red by 17.0
3234
#39
68.11.2
66.968.1
Auto10.9
Teleop36.0
End21.2
Third
6595
#37
38.73.6
35.138.7
Auto6.2
Teleop26.6
End5.9
blue by 11.1
6594
#33
49.81.1
48.749.8
Auto6.5
Teleop29.8
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed