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Red305
24497.2
508474.4
366899.8
Blue255
659449.8
302102.3
150499.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270238100150200300350400450305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#14
99.83.5
93.396.8
Auto12.9
Teleop42.9
End44.0
blue by 2.5
302
#6
102.31.6
101.5103.1
Auto9.7
Teleop43.4
End49.1
Second
244
#17
97.23.5
91.494.9
Auto12.3
Teleop40.3
End44.5
blue by 2.2
1504
#32
99.41.6
87.388.9
Auto10.5
Teleop51.4
End37.5
Third
5084
#11
74.43.5
67.270.8
Auto4.5
Teleop31.2
End38.6
red by 24.6
6594
#33
49.81.6
41.643.3
Auto6.5
Teleop29.8
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed