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Red221
421695.5
28840.9
511497.7
Blue285
247493.2
335792.2
46843.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2512210100200300400221285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#30
97.71.9
91.389.5
Auto12.3
Teleop38.4
End47.0
red by 4.5
2474
#19
93.23.0
83.686.7
Auto10.8
Teleop47.9
End34.4
Second
4216
#22
95.51.9
94.192.2
Auto6.9
Teleop46.0
End42.6
red by 3.3
92.23.0
92.795.8
Auto10.5
Teleop46.6
End35.1
Third
288
#40
40.91.9
48.947.0
Auto6.5
Teleop22.7
End11.7
blue by 2.3
468
#36
43.13.0
38.041.0
Auto4.5
Teleop27.8
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed