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Red285
356848.5
523490.9
494108.7
Blue255
659449.8
615080.1
607862.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2691680100200300400285255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#18
108.72.9
111.6114.5
Auto12.3
Teleop54.2
End42.3
red by 28.6
6150
#25
80.15.4
74.680.1
Auto12.0
Teleop43.2
End24.9
Second
5234
#12
90.92.9
85.388.1
Auto5.2
Teleop36.5
End49.2
red by 28.7
6078
#29
62.16.6
55.562.1
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End26.0
Third
3568
#38
48.53.2
45.348.5
Auto8.4
Teleop29.2
End11.0
blue by 1.3
6594
#33
49.85.4
43.348.7
Auto6.5
Teleop29.8
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed