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Red305
476837.6
4776103.5
548105.0
Blue307
619079.9
354792.4
505098.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263274150200250300350400305307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#22
105.03.6
107.8111.3
Auto12.6
Teleop46.4
End46.0
red by 7.0
98.13.2
93.796.9
Auto10.7
Teleop43.1
End44.3
Second
4776
#30
103.53.6
103.7107.2
Auto7.3
Teleop38.9
End57.4
red by 11.1
92.43.2
92.695.8
Auto11.2
Teleop37.7
End43.5
Third
4768
#41
37.63.6
40.143.7
Auto9.1
Teleop27.9
End0.6
blue by 42.3
6190
#18
79.93.2
72.775.9
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End35.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed