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Red330
515666.7
2832107.0
503106.3
Blue260
440591.4
354792.4
267673.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294270100200400500330260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.00.7
105.6106.2
Auto7.1
Teleop48.1
End51.9
red by 14.6
92.40.1
93.193.0
Auto11.2
Teleop37.7
End43.5
Second
503
#8
106.30.7
104.8105.4
Auto12.8
Teleop45.8
End47.7
red by 14.9
4405
#10
91.40.1
92.192.0
Auto8.9
Teleop38.4
End44.1
Third
5156
#17
66.70.7
65.265.9
Auto9.5
Teleop33.8
End23.4
blue by 6.4
2676
#25
73.10.1
73.873.7
Auto10.5
Teleop31.9
End30.7