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Red330
515666.7
2832107.0
503106.3
Blue230
440591.4
354792.4
267673.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296269100200400500330230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.00.6
106.2106.8
Auto7.1
Teleop48.1
End51.9
red by 14.6
92.40.6
93.092.4
Auto11.2
Teleop37.7
End43.5
Second
503
#8
106.30.6
105.4106.1
Auto12.8
Teleop45.8
End47.7
red by 14.9
4405
#10
91.40.6
92.091.4
Auto8.9
Teleop38.4
End44.1
Third
5156
#17
66.70.6
65.966.5
Auto9.5
Teleop33.8
End23.4
blue by 6.4
2676
#25
73.10.6
73.773.1
Auto10.5
Teleop31.9
End30.7