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Red95
439045.1
570260.6
570644.2
Blue126
437577.9
598945.1
634548.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134133608010012016018020095126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5702
#30
60.62.1
50.047.9
Auto9.3
Teleop36.3
End15.0
blue by 17.3
4375
#10
77.92.3
49.246.9
Auto10.1
Teleop38.3
End29.6
Second
4390
#37
45.12.1
43.141.0
Auto4.7
Teleop31.1
End9.4
blue by 3.1
6345
#29
48.22.3
43.140.8
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End11.8
Third
5706
#35
44.22.3
33.230.9
Auto1.7
Teleop27.0
End15.5
blue by 0.9
5989
#38
45.12.1
35.032.9
Auto8.1
Teleop31.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed